Foundations of Futures Studies, Volume 1: Human Science for a New Era

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Transaction Publishers - 408 Seiten

Futures studies is a new field of inquiry involving systematic and explicit thinking about alternative futures. It aims to demystify the future, make possibilities for the future more known to us, and increase human control over the future. This book summarizes and expands contributions of futurists to the envisioning power and well-being of humanity. Bell brings together futurist intellectual tools, describing and explaining not only the methods, but also the nature, concepts, theories, and exemplars of the field.

"Foundations of Futures Studies "fulfills Bell's five main purposes for writing this two-volume effort: (1) to show that futures studies, like other fields from anthropology to zoology, exists as an identifiable sphere of intellectual activity; (2) to create a teaching instrument that can be used as a basic text for core courses in futures studies; (3) to futurize the thinking of specialists in other disciplines; (4) to contribute to the further development and improvement of futures studies; and (5) to provide tools to empower both ordinary people and leaders to act in ways that create better futures for themselves and their societies. Bell maintains that despite its sometimes doomsday rhetorical style and widespread use by special interests, futures studies offers hope for the future of humanity and concrete ways of realizing that hope in the real world of our everyday lives. It will appeal to all interested in futures studies, as well as sociologists, economists, political scientists, and historians.

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Ausgewählte Seiten

Inhalt

The Purposes of Futures Studies
73
Assumptions of Futures Studies
115
Is Futures Studies an Art or a Science?
165
Methods and Exemplars in Futures Research
239
Urheberrecht

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Beliebte Passagen

Seite 131 - I have given every green herb for food : and it was so. And God saw everything that he had made, and, behold, it was very good. And there was evening and there was morning, the sixth day. And the heavens and the earth were finished, and all the host of them. And on the seventh day God finished his work which he had made ; and he rested on the seventh day from all his work which he had made.
Seite 120 - What then is time? If no one asks me. I know; if I wish to explain it to one that asketh, I know not...
Seite 120 - We travel together, passengers on a little spaceship, dependent on its vulnerable supplies of air and soil; all committed for our safety to its security and peace, preserved from annihilation only by the^ care, the work, and I will say the love, we give our fragile craft.
Seite xxiii - States, terrorists, and other disaffected groups will acquire weapons of mass destruction and mass disruption, and some will use them. Americans will likely die on American soil, possibly in large numbers.
Seite 291 - The war with Japan had been re-enacted in the game rooms at the War College by so many people, and in so many different ways, that nothing that happened during the war was a surprise . . . absolutely nothing except the kamikaze tactics towards the end of the war ; we had not visualized these.
Seite xxiii - America will become increasingly vulnerable to hostile attack on our homeland, and our military superiority will not entirely protect us.
Seite 81 - If you have had your attention directed to the novelties in thought in your own lifetime, you will have observed that almost all really new ideas have a certain aspect of foolishness when they are first produced.
Seite 61 - Evaluation research is the systematic application of social research procedures in assessing the conceptualization and design, implementation, and utility of social intervention programs.
Seite 215 - Old beliefs are to be doubted until they have been reconfirmed by the methods of the new science. Persuasion is to be limited to egalitarian means, potentially accessible to all, that is, to visual and logical demonstrations (note how much of proof in Euclid is based upon dependably shareable visual judgments). The community of scientists is to stay together in focused disputation, attending to each others...
Seite xxv - ... and what we ought to do and what we ought not to do, whoever came into the world without having an innate idea of them?

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